Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.117966 0.131253 0.144998 0.160247 0.176658 0.193758 0.212890
2024-10-13 0.097235 0.116875 0.138326 0.163350 0.191598 0.222355 0.258230
2024-10-20 0.081981 0.105636 0.132738 0.165744 0.204502 0.248224 0.300915
2024-10-27 0.070433 0.096694 0.128100 0.167806 0.216020 0.272026 0.341332
2024-11-03 0.066290 0.095838 0.132417 0.180038 0.239369 0.309829 0.398747
2024-11-10 0.058023 0.088622 0.127896 0.180586 0.247949 0.329715 0.434894
2024-11-17 0.052102 0.083707 0.125624 0.183384 0.258914 0.352331 0.474463
2024-11-24 0.046341 0.078304 0.122087 0.183994 0.266697 0.370801 0.508966
2024-12-01 0.044582 0.078344 0.125752 0.194101 0.286879 0.405184 0.563927
2024-12-08 0.042948 0.078335 0.129197 0.203862 0.306702 0.439387 0.619189
2024-12-15 0.038978 0.074338 0.126583 0.204909 0.314624 0.458091 0.654688
2024-12-22 0.034370 0.068850 0.121349 0.201848 0.316626 0.468831 0.679829
2024-12-29 0.033019 0.068733 0.124387 0.211197 0.336639 0.504726 0.739743
2025-01-05 0.030688 0.066777 0.124523 0.216351 0.351030 0.533583 0.791229
2025-01-12 0.028202 0.064286 0.123629 0.219870 0.363151 0.559607 0.839466
2025-01-19 0.025815 0.061695 0.122352 0.222655 0.374187 0.584286 0.886270
2025-01-26 0.026022 0.063918 0.129007 0.237831 0.403596 0.634862 0.968928
2025-02-02 0.023558 0.060774 0.126507 0.238548 0.411664 0.655783 1.011430
2025-02-09 0.021802 0.058805 0.125821 0.242008 0.423782 0.682500 1.062188
2025-02-16 0.019787 0.056057 0.123565 0.242765 0.431740 0.703352 1.105044
2025-02-23 0.019673 0.057293 0.128383 0.255176 0.457642 0.750191 1.184644
2025-03-02 0.019489 0.058341 0.132875 0.267127 0.483025 0.796593 1.264142
2025-03-09 0.017884 0.056041 0.131072 0.268409 0.491793 0.818934 1.309867